Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 78.039364 86.785811 95.799158 105.759516 116.435682 127.514063 139.856869
2025-02-09 64.106161 76.902857 90.775339 106.836498 124.823662 144.254112 166.736050
2025-02-16 57.893394 73.073830 90.089245 110.383823 133.737960 159.584714 190.162416
2025-02-23 52.030239 68.785651 88.137858 111.829071 139.734644 171.254647 209.235557
2025-03-02 45.722804 63.233507 84.048760 110.162893 141.590196 177.749964 222.042555
2025-03-09 40.877098 58.966579 81.049371 109.374773 144.120617 184.750788 235.230259
2025-03-16 37.066359 55.636855 78.875281 109.293146 147.252370 192.282114 248.928316
2025-03-23 35.205147 54.644483 79.478160 112.529422 154.352831 204.540171 268.300599
2025-03-30 32.594071 52.425818 78.317568 113.376037 158.375382 213.005968 283.102268
2025-04-06 30.235652 50.358006 77.188412 114.120338 162.164714 221.129034 297.482716
2025-04-13 26.874141 46.621462 73.600896 111.439497 161.410894 223.485255 304.682639
2025-04-20 25.960112 46.334597 74.642884 114.854119 168.500241 235.678012 324.140748
2025-04-27 24.652202 45.418462 74.812649 117.151456 174.259262 246.392840 342.062204
2025-05-04 22.975730 43.830095 73.951837 117.991107 178.088678 254.692959 357.053543
2025-05-11 22.358382 43.821203 75.307583 121.867082 185.963479 268.222646 378.751142
2025-05-18 21.118291 42.732546 75.023158 123.402359 190.676917 277.686399 395.335134
2025-05-25 19.082370 40.200431 72.475005 121.618193 190.798336 281.115230 404.162968
2025-06-01 17.464532 38.231331 70.655333 120.771828 192.120314 286.065990 414.935457
2025-06-08 16.163884 36.698874 69.412394 120.684383 194.435759 292.303062 427.385864
2025-06-15 15.779112 36.739709 70.594195 124.156216 201.737863 305.223318 448.649449
2025-06-22 14.849406 35.734141 70.073909 125.064136 205.421455 313.316237 463.631737
2025-06-29 13.962402 34.736598 69.509633 125.862216 208.926300 321.171481 478.336500
2025-07-06 12.413829 32.363936 66.596095 122.987180 207.090609 321.724960 483.321667